The clocks have changed and the weather is taking a much colder turn as we head into the first ten days of November. Cold north or northeasterly winds will bring well below average temperatures across the UK and Ireland with night time and early morning frosts in many places. However, sunshine levels should be above average overall during the first ten days of the month.
The graph (above) for London shows how different the temperatures were last year, and this is typical for many parts of the country. We've plotted the forecast temperatures for 1-16 November 2016 (red line) with last year's observations (blue), together with the 10 year climate average (green).
The weather map shows forecast average pressure for the period 3 to 8 November, northerly winds for the UK and Ireland, with low pressure stretching from Denmark to the Baltic Sea, and the anticyclone in the nearby Atlantic Ocean. In this meteorological pattern, most of Europe will be colder than average, notably across Scandinavia. However, the far south east of Europe could see warmer than average temperatures - that's confined for Italy and Greece. Many regions will be drier than average, but Iberia and areas neighbouring the Baltic and Mediterranean will be on the wet side.
As we approach the middle of the month, milder Atlantic winds reach Ireland and the UK, so we'll notice a recovery in temperature levels. The for the second part of the month we are likely to find alternating westerly and northwesterly winds.
So for the month as a whole, we expect temperatures, rainfall and wind speeds to be a little below average, but sunshine levels to be above normal.
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